dinsdag 28 oktober 2008

Volgens peilingen ligt Kadima 2 tot 3 zetels voor op Likoed

 
Onterecht beweerde het NOS journaal zondag dat Netanyahoe de grote kanshebber is voor de komende verkiezingen in Israel.
In beide onderstaande peilingen staat Kadima voor, zij het nipt. Livni is dus een minstens even goede kanshebber als Netanyahoe.
 
RP
--------
 
Two polls show Livni heading Kadima 29-31 seats vs 26-29 Likud
 
Dr. Aaron Lerner
Date: 27 October 2008
Neither published poll indicated how many were undecided.

 
[1] Dahaf poll for Yediot Ahronot - 900 Israelis (including Israeli Arabs)
26 October 2008,  published in Yediot Ahronot on 27 October 2008.

[2] TNS (Teleseker)  poll for Maariv -  500 Israelis (including Israeli Arabs)
26 October 2008, published in Maariv on 27 October 2008.
 
Actual Knesset today in [brackets]

[1] [2]
29 31  [29] Kadima headed by Livni
26 29  [12] Likud
11 11  [19] Labor
11 08  [12] Shas
10 11  [10] Arab parties
09 11  [11] Yisrael Beteinu
07 07  [09] Nat'l Union/NRP
07 04  [06] Yahadut Hatorah
06 05  [05] Meretz
02 03  [00] Green Party
02 **  [07] Retirees Party
** **  [00] Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
** does not get minimum votes for Knesset representation

TNS (Teleseker)  poll: If elections were held today for the Knesset which of the following issues would most influence the election outcome (AL:  this is not asking what will influence their vote - but what they think will influence other's votes):
Security 47.5% Economy 27% Education 18% Society 5% Don't know 2%
 
--------------------------
Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Website:
http://www.imra.org.il
 
 

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