Een hoop polls, van voor, tijdens en na Israels offensief in Gaza, ook eentje waarin alleen de zekere stemmen zijn geteld en de andere naar politieke affiniteit ingedeeld. Wil je weten wat jij zou (moeten) stemmen in Israel? Kijk dan op: http://israel.kieskompas.nl/
RP
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Poll: Likud 28 Kadima 22 [When limited to certain voting and analyze undecided: Likud 26 Kadima 23]
Dr. Aaron Lerner
Dr. Aaron Lerner
Date 4 February 2009
Before operation: "Right" 66 seats "Left" 45 seats Arabs 9 seats
On second day of operation "Right" 57 seats "Left" 53 seats Arabs 10 seats
On fourth day of operation "Right" 61 seats "Left" 49 seats Arabs 10 seats
6 January "Right" 63 seats "Left" 48 seats Arabs 9 seats
13 January "Right" 62 seats "Left" 48 seats Arabs 10 seats
18 January after ceasefire: "Right" 65 seats "Left" 46 seats Arabs 9 seats
21 January after ceasefire: "Right" 66 seats "Left" 45 seats Arabs 9 seats
27 January after ceasefire: "Right" 70 seats "Left" 40 seats Arabs 10 seats
30 Jan-2 Feb: "Right" 70 seats "Left" 40 seats Arabs 10 seats
1-3 Feb: "Right" 68 seats "Left" 42 seats Arabs 10 seats
Poll #0 Limited to 100% certain voting + allocation of the undecided in accordance with their leanings. Telephone poll of a representative sample of 1,894 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz 1-3 February for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham"
Poll #1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 1,894 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz 1-3 February for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham"
Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 671 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz 30 January through 2 February. 28% did not say what party they would vote for.
Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 529 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham" program 27 January 2009. 20% of respondents did not say what party they would vote for.
Poll #4 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 522 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham" program 20 January 2009.
Poll #5 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 512 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 News program on 18 January 2009, the first day of the ceasefire and broadcast on the evening news program.
Poll #6 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 506 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham" program 13 January 2009.
Poll #7 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 514 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham" program 6 January 2009.
Poll #8 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 505 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham" program 30 December 2008 - 4th day of operation in Gaza.
Poll #9 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 502 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 10 during the day of Sunday 28 December 2008 - the second day of the operation in Gaza.
Poll #10 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 511 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham" program 23 December 2008 [19% undecided/other replies .]
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
#0 #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8 #9#10
23 22 23 22 22 23 26 25 25 28 25 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
13 12 12 13 14 15 16 17 15 16 11 [19] Labor
26 28 31 34 30 31 28 32 31 30 31 [12] Likud
10 11 11 10 11 12 10 10 10 10 12 [12] Shas
19 18 17 16 16 13 14 10 10 10 13 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
03 03 03 03 02 03 03 04 04 02 05 [03] "Jewish Home" (previously NRP)
06 06 06 05 05 05 05 05 05 05 05 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
06 05 04 05 07 06 06 06 05 07 06 [05] Meretz
01 01 01 00 00 01 00 00 02 01 01 [00] Green Party
01 01 00 00 00 01 00 00 02 01 02 [07] Retirees Party
09 10 10 10 09 09 10 09 10 10 09 [10] Arab parties
01 01 00 00 01 00 00 00 00 00 00 [00] Meimad
00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
02 02 02 02 02 01 02 02 01 00 00 [06] National Union (reconstituted)
00 00 00 00 01 00 00 00 00 00 00 [00] Green Leaf (legalize marijuana)
* 1 seat is not enough to get into the Knesset as need 2% of valid votes.
Without regards to how you are voting, who do you think will be elected to be prime minister (AL: there are not direct elections in Israel)
Livni 12% Netanyahu 61% Barak 6% Other replies 21%
Of those saying they will vote for Yisrael Beteinu:
51% are new immigrants from the former Soviet Union
64% Secular 28% Traditional 7% Religious
62% Right wing 20% Central 18% No political orientation
71% Think Netanyahu will form the next government
Before operation: "Right" 66 seats "Left" 45 seats Arabs 9 seats
On second day of operation "Right" 57 seats "Left" 53 seats Arabs 10 seats
On fourth day of operation "Right" 61 seats "Left" 49 seats Arabs 10 seats
6 January "Right" 63 seats "Left" 48 seats Arabs 9 seats
13 January "Right" 62 seats "Left" 48 seats Arabs 10 seats
18 January after ceasefire: "Right" 65 seats "Left" 46 seats Arabs 9 seats
21 January after ceasefire: "Right" 66 seats "Left" 45 seats Arabs 9 seats
27 January after ceasefire: "Right" 70 seats "Left" 40 seats Arabs 10 seats
30 Jan-2 Feb: "Right" 70 seats "Left" 40 seats Arabs 10 seats
1-3 Feb: "Right" 68 seats "Left" 42 seats Arabs 10 seats
Poll #0 Limited to 100% certain voting + allocation of the undecided in accordance with their leanings. Telephone poll of a representative sample of 1,894 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz 1-3 February for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham"
Poll #1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 1,894 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz 1-3 February for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham"
Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 671 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz 30 January through 2 February. 28% did not say what party they would vote for.
Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 529 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham" program 27 January 2009. 20% of respondents did not say what party they would vote for.
Poll #4 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 522 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham" program 20 January 2009.
Poll #5 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 512 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 News program on 18 January 2009, the first day of the ceasefire and broadcast on the evening news program.
Poll #6 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 506 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham" program 13 January 2009.
Poll #7 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 514 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham" program 6 January 2009.
Poll #8 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 505 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham" program 30 December 2008 - 4th day of operation in Gaza.
Poll #9 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 502 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 10 during the day of Sunday 28 December 2008 - the second day of the operation in Gaza.
Poll #10 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 511 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Television Channel 2 "Mishal Cham" program 23 December 2008 [19% undecided/other replies .]
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
#0 #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8 #9#10
23 22 23 22 22 23 26 25 25 28 25 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
13 12 12 13 14 15 16 17 15 16 11 [19] Labor
26 28 31 34 30 31 28 32 31 30 31 [12] Likud
10 11 11 10 11 12 10 10 10 10 12 [12] Shas
19 18 17 16 16 13 14 10 10 10 13 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
03 03 03 03 02 03 03 04 04 02 05 [03] "Jewish Home" (previously NRP)
06 06 06 05 05 05 05 05 05 05 05 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
06 05 04 05 07 06 06 06 05 07 06 [05] Meretz
01 01 01 00 00 01 00 00 02 01 01 [00] Green Party
01 01 00 00 00 01 00 00 02 01 02 [07] Retirees Party
09 10 10 10 09 09 10 09 10 10 09 [10] Arab parties
01 01 00 00 01 00 00 00 00 00 00 [00] Meimad
00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
02 02 02 02 02 01 02 02 01 00 00 [06] National Union (reconstituted)
00 00 00 00 01 00 00 00 00 00 00 [00] Green Leaf (legalize marijuana)
* 1 seat is not enough to get into the Knesset as need 2% of valid votes.
Without regards to how you are voting, who do you think will be elected to be prime minister (AL: there are not direct elections in Israel)
Livni 12% Netanyahu 61% Barak 6% Other replies 21%
Of those saying they will vote for Yisrael Beteinu:
51% are new immigrants from the former Soviet Union
64% Secular 28% Traditional 7% Religious
62% Right wing 20% Central 18% No political orientation
71% Think Netanyahu will form the next government
============
Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il
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