Hoewel een meerderheid van de Palestijnen voorstander is van verzoening tussen Fatah en Hamas, heeft men er niet echt vertrouwen in dat dit gaat lukken. Een soort zakenkabinet zou de Westoever en Gazastrook moeten herenigen tot aan de volgende verkiezingen. Abbas kan zich gesteund weten door meer dan de helft van de kiezers.
Wouter
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Results of Palestinian Public Opinion Poll No. 38 / 16-18 July 2009
www.najah.edu/file/centers/OPSSC/Poll_en38results.pdf
Following are the results of the Palestinian Public Opinion Poll no. 38 conducted by the Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies at An-Najah National University during the period from 16-18 July 2009.
The sample included 1360 persons whose age group is 18 and above and who have the right to vote. The enclosed questionnaire was distributed on 860 persons from the West Bank and 500 persons from the Gaza Strip. The sample was drawn randomly and the margin of error is about +/-3%; still 3.6% of the members of the sample refused to answer the questionnaire.
The opinions represented in the results reflect those of the study; they do not, by any means, represent the opinion of An-Najah National University.
The General Results of the Poll
Do you support or reject the formation of a unity government that will work on ending the sate of division and prepare for the presidential and legislative elections?
I support 80.0 I reject 11.8 I am not concerned 6.6
No opinion/I do not know 1.6
In the Cairo dialogue, the formation of a committee that would include members who represent factions and independent personalities and that would replace a unity government and take charge of coordination between the West Bank and the Gaza Strip was suggested. Do you support or reject this suggestion?
I support 52.5 I reject 37.1 I am not concerned 7.0
No opinion/I do not know 3.5
The recent rounds of the Cairo dialogue were limited to representatives of Fateh and Hamas; other Palestinian factions and independent personalities were not invited. Do you support or reject limiting the participation in the Cairo dialogues to the representatives of Fateh and Hamas?
I support 25.3 I reject 65.3 I am not concerned 6.9
No opinion/I do not know 2.5
Do you support or reject the participation of national independent Palestinian in the Cairo dialogue?
I support 73.8 I reject 17.9 I am not concerned 6.5
No opinion/I do not know 1.8
Do think that the participation of national independent personalities in the Cairo dialogue will influence the proceedings of the dialogue positively or negatively?
It will have a negative effect 18.8 It will have a positive effect 63.9
I am not concerned 7.5 No opinion/I do not know 9.9
Do you think that a reconciliation agreement will be signed in the coming round of dialogue at the end of July?
Yes 31.4 No 53.0 63.I am not concerned 4.0
No opinion/I do not know 11.6
Do you think that the parties of the dialogue, particularly Fateh and Hamas, are concerned with ending the state of division?
Yes 39.7 No 49.0 I am not concerned 4.6
No opinion/I do not know 6.8
Do you think that there are positive signs that the Cairo dialogue will succeed?
Yes 35.7 No 55.4 No opinion/I do not know 8.9
Do you think that the parties of the dialogue in Cairo have the intention to make the dialogue succeed?
Yes 40.1 No 50.3 No opinion/I do not know 9.6
Do you think that the parties of the dialogue in Cairo have the genuine intention to end the Palestinian division?
Yes 40.0 No 49.9 No opinion/I do not know 10.1
If the Cairo dialogue succeeds, how does its success generally affect you personally?
Positively 65.6 Negatively 6.0 It will not have any effect 26.8
No opinion/I do not know 1.6
Which of the following objectives do you think the parties of the Cairo dialogue aim at?
Personal interests 27.6
The interests of their movements and parties 38.8
The interest of the Palestinian people 27.7
No opinion/I do not know 5.8
A group of Palestinian national independent personalities participated in the Cairo dialogue. Do you support or reject such participation?
I support 74.6 I reject 19.2 No opinion/I do not know 6.3
How do you assess the participation of the Palestinian independent personalities in the Cairo dialogue?
Good 55.9 Bad 24.9 No opinion/I do not know 19.3
In your opinion, whose interest does the participation of Palestinian independent personalities in the Cairo dialogue serve?
The personal interests of these personalities 28.9
The interests of Fateh 6.3
The interests of Hamas 1.5
The interests of the general Palestinian cause 52.1
No opinion/I do not know 11.2
If presidential elections are held in the present time, to whom from among the following do you give your vote?
An independent candidate 7.5 A candidate from the left 3.1
A candidate from Hamas 11.8 A candidate from Fateh 26.8
A national independent candidate 7.1 An Islamic independent candidate 5.2
I will not participate in the elections 21.3 I have not decided yet 17.2
If new PLC elections are conducted, whom do you vote for?
An independent ticket 6.0 A ticket from the left 3.5
A ticket from Hamas 12.5 A ticket from Fateh 29.
A national independent ticket 6.8 An Islamic independent ticket 5.2
I will not participate in the elections 21.0 I have not decided yet 16.0
If new legislative elections were to be held today, which of the following would win?
Independent Islamists bloc 6.3 Independent Nationalist bloc 9.3
Fateh bloc 39.3 Hamas bloc 17.9
A bloc from leftist organizations 2.0 No opinion/I do not know 25.3
In case presidential elections are held, to whom do you give your vote?
Mahmoud Abbas 53.1 Ismail Haniyeh 16.8 Others 8.
I will not participate in the elections 21.3
In your opinion, who is the most capable of managing the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and serving the highest national interest?
Mahmoud Abbas 52.6 Ismail Haniyeh 22.1
No opinion/I do not know 25.3
As you know, there is a government in the West Bank led by Salam Fayyad and another government in the Gaza Strip led by Ismail Haniyeh. In your opinion which government is more capable of managing the internal Palestinian affairs?
The government of Salam Fayyad 44.8
The Government of Ismail Haniyeh 24.0
No opinion/I do not know 31.2
How do you assess the performance of the government of Salam Fayyad?
Good 48.8 Bad 38.7 No opinion/I do not know 12.5
How do you assess the performance of the government of Ismail Haniyeh?
Good 32.4 Bad 48.5 No opinion/I do not know 19.2
There are those who say that Hamas is belligerent towards Fateh activists in the Gaza Strip. Do you support or reject this allegation?
Yes 64.6 No 21.4 No opinion/I do not know 14.0
There are those who say that the Palestinian Authority arrests Hamas activists in the West Bank. Do you support or reject this allegation?
Yes 64.2 No 21.5 No opinion/I do not know 14.3
Are you worried about your life under the present circumstances?
Yes 52.4 No 46.5 No opinion/I do not know 1.2
Are you pessimistic or optimistic towards the general Palestinian situation at this stage?
Optimistic 37.2 Pessimistic 60.7 No opinion/I do not know 2.1
Under the present circumstances, do you feel that you, your family and your properties are safe?
Yes 22.9 May be 37.4 No 39.0 No opinion/I do not know 0.7
Which of the following political affiliations do you support?
People's Party 1.3 Democratic Front 0.7 Islamic Jihad 2.1
Fateh 33.6 Hamas 14.9 Fida 0.3 Popular Front 3.0
Palestinian National Initiative 0.9
I am an independent nationalist 8.1
I am an independent Islamist 4.9
None of the above 29.3 Others 1.0
The sample included 1360 persons whose age group is 18 and above and who have the right to vote. The enclosed questionnaire was distributed on 860 persons from the West Bank and 500 persons from the Gaza Strip. The sample was drawn randomly and the margin of error is about +/-3%; still 3.6% of the members of the sample refused to answer the questionnaire.
The opinions represented in the results reflect those of the study; they do not, by any means, represent the opinion of An-Najah National University.
The General Results of the Poll
Do you support or reject the formation of a unity government that will work on ending the sate of division and prepare for the presidential and legislative elections?
I support 80.0 I reject 11.8 I am not concerned 6.6
No opinion/I do not know 1.6
In the Cairo dialogue, the formation of a committee that would include members who represent factions and independent personalities and that would replace a unity government and take charge of coordination between the West Bank and the Gaza Strip was suggested. Do you support or reject this suggestion?
I support 52.5 I reject 37.1 I am not concerned 7.0
No opinion/I do not know 3.5
The recent rounds of the Cairo dialogue were limited to representatives of Fateh and Hamas; other Palestinian factions and independent personalities were not invited. Do you support or reject limiting the participation in the Cairo dialogues to the representatives of Fateh and Hamas?
I support 25.3 I reject 65.3 I am not concerned 6.9
No opinion/I do not know 2.5
Do you support or reject the participation of national independent Palestinian in the Cairo dialogue?
I support 73.8 I reject 17.9 I am not concerned 6.5
No opinion/I do not know 1.8
Do think that the participation of national independent personalities in the Cairo dialogue will influence the proceedings of the dialogue positively or negatively?
It will have a negative effect 18.8 It will have a positive effect 63.9
I am not concerned 7.5 No opinion/I do not know 9.9
Do you think that a reconciliation agreement will be signed in the coming round of dialogue at the end of July?
Yes 31.4 No 53.0 63.I am not concerned 4.0
No opinion/I do not know 11.6
Do you think that the parties of the dialogue, particularly Fateh and Hamas, are concerned with ending the state of division?
Yes 39.7 No 49.0 I am not concerned 4.6
No opinion/I do not know 6.8
Do you think that there are positive signs that the Cairo dialogue will succeed?
Yes 35.7 No 55.4 No opinion/I do not know 8.9
Do you think that the parties of the dialogue in Cairo have the intention to make the dialogue succeed?
Yes 40.1 No 50.3 No opinion/I do not know 9.6
Do you think that the parties of the dialogue in Cairo have the genuine intention to end the Palestinian division?
Yes 40.0 No 49.9 No opinion/I do not know 10.1
If the Cairo dialogue succeeds, how does its success generally affect you personally?
Positively 65.6 Negatively 6.0 It will not have any effect 26.8
No opinion/I do not know 1.6
Which of the following objectives do you think the parties of the Cairo dialogue aim at?
Personal interests 27.6
The interests of their movements and parties 38.8
The interest of the Palestinian people 27.7
No opinion/I do not know 5.8
A group of Palestinian national independent personalities participated in the Cairo dialogue. Do you support or reject such participation?
I support 74.6 I reject 19.2 No opinion/I do not know 6.3
How do you assess the participation of the Palestinian independent personalities in the Cairo dialogue?
Good 55.9 Bad 24.9 No opinion/I do not know 19.3
In your opinion, whose interest does the participation of Palestinian independent personalities in the Cairo dialogue serve?
The personal interests of these personalities 28.9
The interests of Fateh 6.3
The interests of Hamas 1.5
The interests of the general Palestinian cause 52.1
No opinion/I do not know 11.2
If presidential elections are held in the present time, to whom from among the following do you give your vote?
An independent candidate 7.5 A candidate from the left 3.1
A candidate from Hamas 11.8 A candidate from Fateh 26.8
A national independent candidate 7.1 An Islamic independent candidate 5.2
I will not participate in the elections 21.3 I have not decided yet 17.2
If new PLC elections are conducted, whom do you vote for?
An independent ticket 6.0 A ticket from the left 3.5
A ticket from Hamas 12.5 A ticket from Fateh 29.
A national independent ticket 6.8 An Islamic independent ticket 5.2
I will not participate in the elections 21.0 I have not decided yet 16.0
If new legislative elections were to be held today, which of the following would win?
Independent Islamists bloc 6.3 Independent Nationalist bloc 9.3
Fateh bloc 39.3 Hamas bloc 17.9
A bloc from leftist organizations 2.0 No opinion/I do not know 25.3
In case presidential elections are held, to whom do you give your vote?
Mahmoud Abbas 53.1 Ismail Haniyeh 16.8 Others 8.
I will not participate in the elections 21.3
In your opinion, who is the most capable of managing the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and serving the highest national interest?
Mahmoud Abbas 52.6 Ismail Haniyeh 22.1
No opinion/I do not know 25.3
As you know, there is a government in the West Bank led by Salam Fayyad and another government in the Gaza Strip led by Ismail Haniyeh. In your opinion which government is more capable of managing the internal Palestinian affairs?
The government of Salam Fayyad 44.8
The Government of Ismail Haniyeh 24.0
No opinion/I do not know 31.2
How do you assess the performance of the government of Salam Fayyad?
Good 48.8 Bad 38.7 No opinion/I do not know 12.5
How do you assess the performance of the government of Ismail Haniyeh?
Good 32.4 Bad 48.5 No opinion/I do not know 19.2
There are those who say that Hamas is belligerent towards Fateh activists in the Gaza Strip. Do you support or reject this allegation?
Yes 64.6 No 21.4 No opinion/I do not know 14.0
There are those who say that the Palestinian Authority arrests Hamas activists in the West Bank. Do you support or reject this allegation?
Yes 64.2 No 21.5 No opinion/I do not know 14.3
Are you worried about your life under the present circumstances?
Yes 52.4 No 46.5 No opinion/I do not know 1.2
Are you pessimistic or optimistic towards the general Palestinian situation at this stage?
Optimistic 37.2 Pessimistic 60.7 No opinion/I do not know 2.1
Under the present circumstances, do you feel that you, your family and your properties are safe?
Yes 22.9 May be 37.4 No 39.0 No opinion/I do not know 0.7
Which of the following political affiliations do you support?
People's Party 1.3 Democratic Front 0.7 Islamic Jihad 2.1
Fateh 33.6 Hamas 14.9 Fida 0.3 Popular Front 3.0
Palestinian National Initiative 0.9
I am an independent nationalist 8.1
I am an independent Islamist 4.9
None of the above 29.3 Others 1.0
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An-Najah National University
Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies
Tel: (972) (9) 2345113 Fax: (972)(9) 2345982
Nablus - Palestinian: P.O.Box 7, 707
Email: Polls@najah.edu hussein596@yahoo.com
Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies
Tel: (972) (9) 2345113 Fax: (972)(9) 2345982
Nablus - Palestinian: P.O.Box 7, 707
Email: Polls@najah.edu hussein596@yahoo.com
--------------------------------------------
IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis
Website: www.imra.org.il
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