woensdag 10 juni 2009

Drie mislukte plannen om Israel van de kaart te vegen

Een bewijs van de grote Palestijnse steun voor deze plannen is dat men bijna unaniem tegen erkenning van Israel als Joodse staat is, tegen het opgeven van het 'recht' op terugkeer van alle vluchtelingen en hun nakomelingen, en iedere Joodse binding met het land en met Jeruzalem blijft ontkennen. Als de Palestijnen oprecht voor een tweestatenoplossing zouden zijn, waarom dan niet, zoals Israelische voorvechters van vrede zoals Amos Oz, erkennen dat twee volken en nationale bewegingen tegenover elkaar staan, en zij beide een legitieme claim op het land hebben? Ik heb dat zelden uit de mond van een Palestijn gehoord.

Three Failed Plans to Wipe Israel Off the Map that keep the conflict going

By Barry Rubin

There are now no less than three main plans for wiping Israel off the map.

1. Conquest. This is the old PLO strategy and continues to be the Hamas strategy. In addition, it is endorsed less overtly by a large group—arguably a majority—in Fatah, the party that controls the Palestinian Authority.

Israel will be militarily defeated, perhaps with some assistance from internal collapse, and replaced by a Palestinian Arab Islamic (Fatah version) or Palestinian Arab Islamist state.

2. Two-Stages. This was officially adopted by the PLO and Fatah. It is an alternative vision that appeals to many in those two groups but is rejected by Hamas.

A Palestinian state will be created on as much territory as possible and then used as a base for conquering the rest . A diplomatic deal can only be made to obtain such a state, however, if its terms do not foreclose the possibility of the second stage being implemented. The demand that virtually all Palestinians who wish to do so can go and live in Israel is a supplement to ensure that phase one turns into phase 2. In 2000, Yasir Arafat either rejected this in preference to Plan Number 1 or at least deemed the terms offered insufficient to make the second stage easy or possible.

3. Binational state (also known as the one-state solution). This is supported by some in PLO and Fatah, partly because it has more appeal to naïve or other Westerners. It is rejected by Hamas.

A binational state will be created. (Note the irony that this totally betrays the idea of the Palestinian movement being a nationalist one seeking its own state.) Despite assurances, it will be unworkable and beset by violence. But since Israel's strength would be dismantled and millions of Palestinian Arabs would migrate onto its territory, there would be a relatively brief—but very bloody—transition to an Arab victory and the reconstitution of the state as an Arab Muslim Palestine.
Continued at:  Three Failed Plans to Wipe Israel Off the Map that keep the conflict going

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